Among the major figures he revealed on the floor of the National Assembly, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) revenue target was kept at Rs4.95 trillion for next year while defence allocations amounted to around Rs1.3 trillion. The federal development programme was budgeted at Rs650 billion to support growth prospects.
Prime Minister Imran Khan also attended the session. Azhar started the session by saying it was an honour for him to be presenting the second budget of the PTI government under the leadership of PM Imran.
He then went on to highlight some of the major achievements of the government in the outgoing fiscal year, pointing to a 73 per cent decline in the current account deficit, which is now under $3 billion, he said. "There is also a primary surplus which we achieved in the past nine months," he said.
In the background of Azhar's speech, loud slogans against the premier and table-thumping by the opposition benches could be heard as the minister highlighted the PTI-led government's efforts to streamline the economy. Later, the opposition walked out of the House in protest.
Azhar said "our budget deficit shrank from 5pc to 3.8pc while IMF gave us an extended facility of Rs6 billion and remittances increased from Rs16b to Rs17b". He noted that Bloomberg had called PSX the top performing market in Dec 2019.
Presenting details of the new budget, the minister emphasised that "no new tax was introduced in this budget". He said the need of the hour was an expansionary fiscal policy which the He said the total size of the budget or the total expenditure budget for the next year stood at Rs7,136 billion — slightly higher than the budgeted figure for the previous year.
Current expenditure
Of this total, current expenditure for the next fiscal year was budgeted at Rs6,345 billion, up from the Rs6,193b budgeted last year, Azhar said. Of this, Defence Affairs make up Rs1,289 billion, up 11pc from the previous year, with interest payments making up Rs2,946 billion.
Allocations for education have been budgeted at Rs83.3 billion, up 7.9pc from last year's Rs77.2 billion. Health allocations for the next year have more than doubled (130pc rise) to Rs25.5 billion from last year's Rs11 billion. During his speech, Azhar explained that the funds would be used to improve health services and digitise the framework.
PSDP
Hammad Azhar revealed that the total expenditure for public sector development projects (PSDP) for the next fiscal year had been budgeted at Rs1,324 billion, which is 18pc below last year's budget.
Of this, federal PSDP has been allocated Rs650 billion, while Rs676 billion has been allocated to provinces.
Fiscal deficit
The fiscal deficit, he said, would be 7pc of the GDP and has been budgeted at Rs3,195 billion for FY2021. The minister lamented that the deficit had been increased manifold during regimes of the previous governments but said this government will try to keep it in check.
Azhar said the government will pull out the economy from a 0.4pc contraction and is aiming for a 2.1pc growth in GDP for fiscal year 2021
Inflation
Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for fiscal year 2021 has been budgeted at 6.5pc, down from a projection of 13pc last year.
Total revenue
Total revenue, he said is budgeted at Rs6,573 billion, of which net federal revenue will be Rs3,700 billion.
FBR tax revenue
Azhar went on to reveal that FBR tax collection has been budgeted at Rs4,963 billion, which is lower than last year's original budgeted amount of Rs5,555 billion. The minister stressed during his speech that the government wants this to be a "relief budget" due to the crises brought on by the pandemic and the government is imposing no new taxes for the new year.
This year's budget session is being seen as a formality as both PPP and PML-N, the major opposition parties, have agreed not to press for voting on cut motions and not to point out quorum till the passage of the budget by June 30.
'Corona budget'
The budget comes as the country tackles the ongoing health crisis caused by the outbreak of the novel coronavirus, which has shaken the economy. It was finalised after talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and it was agreed that the federal government would freeze the size of its expenditures.
Presenting the Economic Survey of Pakistan 2019-20 at a press conference on Thursday, Shaikh spent a large part of his speech building narrative around inheriting a troubled economy and putting it on road to recovery before the Covid-19 pandemic hit economies of the world and Pakistan.
Dr Shaikh said it was still very difficult to quantify the accurate impact of Covid-19 on the economy, but there was no doubt that it had been really hit hard and different institutions were making different projections based on quantum, severity and duration of the pandemic.
The adviser said the government had no intention to go for aggressive taxation but this did not mean that those who were rich would not be made to pay their due taxes.
SOPs in place
In order to ensure that the social distancing policy to prevent the spread of Covid-19 pandemic is followed, the opposition and government have agreed that only a maximum of 86 members (one-fourth of the total 342-member house), 46 from the treasury and 40 from the opposition, will be present in the house at one time.
The terms of the agreement, which were called guidelines for ensuring implementation of the standard operating procedures, were read out on the floor of the house by none other than by PPP’s Syed Naveed Qamar on the directive of Speaker Asad Qaiser at the outset of the sitting on Wednesday.
According to the accord, the members and the staff of National Assembly Secretariat who have not got themselves tested for Covid-19 would not be allowed to enter the hall. The proceedings of the house will continue for maximum of three hours daily until June 30. The opposition will not point out quorum, except on the day the budget would be voted upon.
Qamar further said that chief whips of the parties would be responsible for providing the lists of the attending members on a particular day and only those members would be allowed to come to the house whose names were present in the lists.
Explaining further points, the PPP leader said there would be no need for the members to come to the assembly hall for attendance as they could mark their attendance at the main entrance, known as Gate No 1.
The Jamiat Ulema-i-Islam-Fazl (JUI-F), however, not only rejected the agreement, terming it “unconstitutional and illegal”, its members also staged a sit-in in front of the dais of the speaker to protest removal of their chairs from the house as only 86 chairs were placed in the house after the agreement.
Salient Features of Federal Budget 2020-21
The budget 2020-21 has the following salient features:
–Total outlay of budget 2020-21 is Rs 7,294.9 billion. This size is 11 percent lower than the size of budget estimates 2019-20.
–The resource availability during 2020-21 has been estimated at Rs 6,314.9 billion against Rs 4,917.2 billion in the budget estimates of 2019-20.
–The net revenue receipts for 2020-21 have been estimated at Rs 3,699.5 billion indicating an increase of 6.7 percent over the budget estimates of 2019-20.
–The provincial share in federal taxes is estimated at Rs 2,873.7 billion during
2020-21, which is 11.7 percent lower than the budget estimates for 2019-20.
–The net capital receipts for 2020-21 have been estimated at Rs 1,463.2 billion against the budget estimates of Rs 831.7 billion in 2019-20 reflecting an increase
Highlights of PSDP 2019-20
of 75.93 percent.
–The external receipts in 2020-21 are estimated at Rs 2,222.9 billion. This shows a decrease of 26.7 percent over the budget estimates for 2019-20.
–The overall expenditure during 2020-21 has been estimated at Rs 7,294.9 billion, out of which the current expenditure is Rs 6,345 billion.
–The development expenditure outside PSDP has been estimated at Rs 70 billion in the budget 2020-21.
–The size of Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP) for 2020-21 is Rs 1,324 billion. Out of this, Rs 676 billion has been allocated to provinces.
–Federal PSDP has been estimated at Rs 650 billion, out of which Rs 418.7 billion for Federal Ministries/Divisions, Rs 100.4 billion for Corporations, Rs 3 billion for Earthquake Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Authority (ERRA), Rs 7 billion for COVID responsive and other natural calamities programme.
Rs 4,963 billion.— Non-tax revenues for the upcoming year are estimated at Rs 1,108.9 billion.
— Gross revenue receipts are estimated at Rs 6,573.22 billion out of which provincial share is Rs 2,873 billion.
–The net revenue receipts for federal government in budget 2020-21 are estimated at Rs 3,699 billion, showing an increase of 6.8 percent over the budget estimates of 2019-20 and 19.24 percent over revised estimates of outgoing fiscal year 2019-20.
–The government obtained loans and grants to bridge the gap between the receipts and expenditure. The net external resources for 2020-21 after deduction of foreign loans repayment (Rs 1,228 billion) and repayment of short term credits (Rs 183 billion) have been projected at Rs 810.34 billion are lower by 73 percent and 64.34 percent respectively when compared with budget and revised estimates 2019-20.
Current Expenditures:
–Total current expenditures of federal government for the year 2020-21 are estimated at Rs 6,344 billion which are 16.7 percent and 12.99 percent lower when compared to the revised estimation and actual estimation of current expenditures during outgoing year.
–Mark-up payments for the year 2020-21 have been estimated at Rs 2,946 billion out of which Rs 2,631 billion would be paid on domestic debt and Rs 315 billion on foreign debt.
–Expenditures of Rs 470 billion have been estimated for pensions which are
1.4 percent higher when compared to the revised estimates of Rs 463.4 billion for
the outgoing year 2019-20.–For Defence Affairs and Services, an amount of Rs 1,289 billion has been estimated for the year 2020-21 compared to revised estimation of Rs 1,227 billion for the outgoing fiscal year 2019-20.
Govt presents Rs 7.137 trillion relief budget for FY2020-21–For grants and transfers, Rs 904 billion have been estimated against Revised estimation of Rs 1,177 billion for the year 2019-20.
–Subsidies have been estimated at Rs 209 billion against revised estimation of Rs 349.5 billion for 2019-20.
–For running of Civil government, Rs 475.7 billion have been estimated for the fiscal year 2020-21 against revised expenditures of Rs 445.8 billion in 2019-20.
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